MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:42:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2023 at 1.30am UK
 

Instituto
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Bochi (33')
Rodriguez (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pratto (4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Instituto
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-3 Banfield
Saturday, April 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (13.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawVelez Sarsfield
34.51% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 30.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.16% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 41.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02)35.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.023999999999997 0.02)72.75% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)35.53% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)72.3% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 34.5%
    Velez Sarsfield 35.15%
    Draw 30.33%
InstitutoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 12.78%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.33%
0-1 @ 13.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 35.15%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!