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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 9, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 1
River Plate

Avalos (38')
Laso (31'), Marcone (71'), Rey (86')
Marcone (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borja (23')
Gonzalez Pirez (61'), Borja (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawRiver Plate
27.28% (-0.471 -0.47) 27.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 45.29% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 46.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.134 -0.13)58.34% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-0.106 -0.11)78.96% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.461 -0.46)37.2% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.458 -0.46)73.99% (0.455 0.45)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.187 0.19)25.7% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.25700000000001 0.26)60.61% (-0.26 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 27.29%
    River Plate 45.28%
    Draw 27.42%
IndependienteDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 27.29%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 12.98% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.83% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 4% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.28%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 1am
Gameweek 10
River Plate
3-0
Independiente
Borja (36', 59'), Solari (84')
Aliendro (28'), Perez (45+1'), Lanzini (80')

Gimenez Rojas (31'), Canelo (45+1'), Marcone (56')
Apr 24, 2023 12.30am
Aug 7, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
0-1
River Plate

Cazares (90+2')
Suarez (90+2')
Solari (30'), Armani (63')
Sep 6, 2021 1.15am
Jan 10, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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