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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Independiente

River Plate
3 - 0
Independiente

Borja (36', 59'), Solari (84')
Aliendro (28'), Perez (45+1'), Lanzini (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimenez Rojas (31'), Canelo (45+1'), Marcone (56')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 2-2 River Plate
Thursday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Barracas Central
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawIndependiente
63.8% (-1.089 -1.09) 22.28% (0.648 0.65) 13.91% (0.442 0.44)
Both teams to score 41.94% (-0.679 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-1.566 -1.57)54.41% (1.568 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-1.32 -1.32)75.78% (1.321 1.32)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.899 -0.9)16.51% (0.901 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-1.644 -1.64)46.25% (1.646 1.65)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.24% (-0.269 -0.27)49.76% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.51% (-0.189 -0.19)84.49% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 63.79%
    Independiente 13.91%
    Draw 22.27%
River PlateDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 14.79% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 13.32%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.79%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.49 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.27%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.055 0.06)
0-2 @ 2% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 13.91%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 12.30am
Aug 7, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
0-1
River Plate

Cazares (90+2')
Suarez (90+2')
Solari (30'), Armani (63')
Sep 6, 2021 1.15am
Jan 10, 2021 12.30am
Jan 19, 2020 10.10pm
Gameweek 14
Independiente
1-2
River Plate
Romero (47')
Perez (10'), Barboza (53'), Fernandez (89')
Barboza (62')
Borre (24', 69')
Montiel (3'), Perez (67'), Fernandez (71'), Ferreira (79'), Scocco (91'), Casco (95')
rhs 2.0
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