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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 6, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra
Atletico Tucuman

Belgrano
1 - 0
Tucuman

Vegetti (33')
Sanchez (67')
Rebola (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Estigarribia (45+2'), Ortiz (82'), Marchiori (90+8')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Belgrano
Sunday, April 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, April 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 44.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawAtletico Tucuman
44.14% (-0.197 -0.2) 30.78% (-0.038 -0.04) 25.08% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 37.12% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.49% (0.207 0.21)69.52% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.08% (0.134 0.13)86.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41% (0.352 0.35)45.59% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6% (0.275 0.27)81.4% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 44.14%
    Atletico Tucuman 25.08%
    Draw 30.78%
BelgranoDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 16.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.52% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.14%
0-0 @ 14.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 30.78%
0-1 @ 11.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.08%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Tucuman

Belgrano
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Atletico Tucuman
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2018 10pm
gameweek 13
Belgrano
1-3
Tucuman
Sequeira (13' pen.)
Guidara (37')
Bianchi (32'), Diaz (58'), Rodriguez (83')
Aliendro (25'), Abero (35'), Cabral (82')
rhs 2.0
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