MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 08:42:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
0 - 2
Belgrano


Tarragona (65'), Miramon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vegetti (34', 52')
Diarte (32'), Godoy (64')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, April 13 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Huracan
Wednesday, April 12 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawBelgrano
34.29% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 29.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 35.85% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Both teams to score 42.47% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.3% (0.14899999999999 0.15)64.7% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.32% (0.105 0.11)83.68% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (0.013000000000005 0.01)35.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.11% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (0.176 0.18)34.3% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (0.19 0.19)70.99% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 34.28%
    Belgrano 35.84%
    Draw 29.86%
GimnasiaDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 12.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.86%
0-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.84%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Belgrano

Gimnasia
36.4%
Draw
36.4%
Belgrano
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2018 10pm
Belgrano
2-0
Gimnasia
Lugo (27'), Aguirre (95')
Lugo (62'), Menosse (82'), Rigamonti (88')

Melluso (61')
rhs 2.0
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