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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
0 - 1
Belgrano


Medina (37'), Gariglio (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vegetti (39' pen.)
Garcia (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Arsenal
Sunday, February 26 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Belgrano

All competitions
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Tigre
Saturday, February 25 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawBelgrano
34.19% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 30% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.8% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.13% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.02% (0.011999999999997 0.01)83.98% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34%35.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (0.021999999999991 0.02)34.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 34.19%
    Belgrano 35.8%
    Draw 30%
Arsenal SarandiDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.32%
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 30%
0-1 @ 13.09%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.8%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Belgrano

Arsenal Sarandi
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Belgrano
33.3%
9
rhs 2.0
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