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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 0
Gimnasia

Beltran (26' pen.), Aliendro (65'), Suarez (90')
Perez (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mastrangelo (34')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Racing
Saturday, April 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 7.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 3-0 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawGimnasia
77.93% (0.56699999999999 0.57) 14.89% (-0.325 -0.32) 7.18% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 40.76% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (0.603 0.6)41.93% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.60299999999999 0.6)64.33% (-0.604 -0.6)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (0.28100000000001 0.28)8.85% (-0.2811 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.69% (0.67800000000001 0.68)30.31% (-0.678 -0.68)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.72% (-0.233 -0.23)55.28% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.95% (-0.14 -0.14)88.05% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 77.92%
    Gimnasia 7.18%
    Draw 14.89%
River PlateDrawGimnasia
2-0 @ 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 11.62% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 7.05% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.18% (0.074 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.42% (0.127 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.061 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.38% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 77.92%
1-1 @ 7.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 14.89%
0-1 @ 2.9% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 2.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 7.18%

How you voted: River Plate vs Gimnasia

River Plate
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Gimnasia
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2022 1.30am
River Plate
1-0
Gimnasia
Beltran (43')
Zuculini (76')

Enrique (35'), Cecchini (50'), Muro (85')
Mar 13, 2022 10.15pm
River Plate
4-0
Gimnasia
Fernandez (30' pen.), Alvarez (45+1' pen.), Quintero (72' pen.), Romero (90')
Gonzalez Pirez (40')

Leyes (53'), Morales (62'), Cardozo (64')
Aug 23, 2021 12.15am
Gimnasia
1-1
River Plate
Miguel Rodriguez (7')
Melluso (74'), Licht (89')
Suarez (3')
Romero (13'), Zuculini (48'), De La Cruz (59'), Casco (74')
Sep 28, 2019 9.45pm
Gimnasia
0-2
River Plate

Velazquez (33'), Ayala (48')
Carrascal (22'), Scocco (74')
Zuculini (33'), Sosa (39')
Dec 3, 2018 12.30am
River Plate
3-1
Gimnasia
Borre (7', 36'), Moya (88')
Lux (50')
Gomez (49')
Bonifacio (51'), Cataldi (54'), Monti (73')
rhs 2.0
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