MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 23:54:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
0 - 4
Elfsborg


Friedrich (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hult (30'), Okkels (52'), Zeneli (77'), Larsson (79')
Aron Gudjohnsen (22'), Frick (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Kalmar
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Hammarby
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Kalmar 1-2 Elfsborg

This is a very close one to call, as both sides are currently on the up and carrying solid form into the match. The visitors, though, have an excellent away record, scoring two or more goals in four of their last five matches on the road, while the hosts have conceded in each of their last four home games. On those grounds, we are going for Elfsborg to win by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawElfsborg
37.27% (0.694 0.69) 26.76% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 35.97% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.232 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.301 0.3)53.39% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (0.254 0.25)74.93% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.55200000000001 0.55)27.72% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.704 0.7)63.28% (-0.706 -0.71)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.226 -0.23)28.49% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.283 -0.28)64.26% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 37.27%
    Elfsborg 35.97%
    Draw 26.76%
KalmarDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.97%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Elfsborg

Kalmar
22.7%
Draw
13.6%
Elfsborg
63.6%
22
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Elfsborg
0-2
Kalmar
Nanasi (42'), Sachpekidis (45+2')
Jul 24, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Kalmar
1-0
Elfsborg
Berg (48')
Kristjan Olafsson (66')

Olsson (56'), Aron Gudjohnsen (62'), Romer (63')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Kalmar
0-3
Elfsborg

Ring (76')
Olsson (3'), Bernhardsson (24'), Alm (75')
May 8, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Elfsborg
2-2
Kalmar
Frick (4'), Vaisanen (61')
Holmen (26'), Ronning (38'), Larsson (90+8')
Ring (63'), Berg (88')
Lofkvist (10'), Ring (90+8')
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
Elfsborg
3-1
Kalmar
Holst (23'), Okkels (27'), Frick (57' pen.)
Vaisanen (53')
Israelsson (78')
Arokoyo (48'), Magnusson (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo76011941518
2GAISGAIS85031111015
3Mjallby AIF8422149514
4AIK FotbollAIK84221513214
5Djurgardens IFDjurgarden7412127513
6HackenHacken74121410413
7Halmstads BKHalmstad84041015-512
8ElfsborgElfsborg73131112-110
9SiriusSirius8314911-210
10IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping73131118-710
11BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna7232131129
12HammarbyHammarby7304111019
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg721479-27
14Varnamo7214714-77
15KalmarKalmar72051315-26
16Vasteras SKVasteras8107311-83


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