Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
41.6% | 23.8% | 34.6% |
Both teams to score 61.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% | 40.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.34% | 62.66% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% | 19.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% | 51.63% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% | 23.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% | 56.95% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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