Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
28.39% | 22.53% | 49.07% |
Both teams to score 63.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.94% | 37.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.75% | 59.25% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% | 25.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% | 59.98% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.56% | 15.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.72% | 44.28% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.9% 1-0 @ 5.36% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 2.72% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.95% Total : 49.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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