Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
35.36% | 25.39% | 39.26% |
Both teams to score 56.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% | 47.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% | 69.75% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% | 26.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% | 61.11% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% | 58.14% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |