Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
42.64% | 25.2% | 32.17% |
Both teams to score 56.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.57% | 47.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.36% | 69.64% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% | 22.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% | 55.61% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% | 63.58% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |