World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Huye
Rwanda2 - 0South Africa
Nshuti (12'), Mugisha (28')
Nshuti (12'), Spittler (13'), Mugisha (32')
Nshuti (12'), Spittler (13'), Mugisha (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Zimbabwe
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Benin
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Rwanda 1-2 South Africa
South Africa have been defensively solid of late, and that has set the tone for a six-game unbeaten run. We are backing them to emerge victorious against Rwanda in what should be an open and end-to-end affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rwanda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | South Africa |
38.41% ( -0.11) | 30.43% ( -0.01) | 31.16% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 40.59% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
