MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 17:28:54| >> :600:4228869:4228869:
Rwanda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Huye
Mozambique national football team

Rwanda
0 - 2
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-1)
Catamo (43'), Bauque (90+4')
Momade (45+2'), Ivane (79'), Abudo Zacarias (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 1-1 Benin
Wednesday, March 29 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, June 14 at 9am in International Friendlies

We said: Rwanda 1-0 Mozambique

The onus is more on Rwanda to make home advantage count and come away with all three points here. Mozambique, however, surely have other ideas heading into this weekend's encounter, but we fancy the hosts to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawMozambique
37.94% (0.173 0.17) 30.11% (1.267 1.27) 31.95% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 41.56% (-3.603 -3.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.35% (-4.249 -4.25)65.65% (4.249 4.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.66% (-3.05 -3.05)84.34% (3.05 3.05)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-2.094 -2.09)33.44% (2.094 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-2.36 -2.36)70.07% (2.361 2.36)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-3.343 -3.34)37.56% (3.345 3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (-3.429 -3.43)74.34% (3.431 3.43)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 37.93%
    Mozambique 31.95%
    Draw 30.1%
RwandaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.75% (1.31 1.31)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.318 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.299 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.286 -0.29)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 12.56% (1.84 1.84)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.538 -0.54)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.1%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.8 0.8)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.559 -0.56)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.405 -0.41)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Mozambique

Rwanda
54.8%
Draw
31.0%
Mozambique
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
1-1
Rwanda
Ratifo (67')
Catamo (90+3')
Nishimwe (65')
Omborenga (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!