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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
0 - 1
Spurs Ladies


Ward (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
England (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 1-3 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Bristol City will be low on confidence following a number of disappointing results, and having already lost to Spurs on two occasions this season, we think that they will fall to another defeat in Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win with a probability of 57.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Ladies would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
22% (-1.101 -1.1) 20.81% (-0.624 -0.62) 57.19% (1.729 1.73)
Both teams to score 62.39% (0.749 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92% (1.648 1.65)35.09% (-1.644 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92% (1.813 1.81)57.09% (-1.809 -1.81)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.79% (1.048 1.05)12.21% (-1.042 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.12% (2.15 2.15)37.89% (-2.145 -2.15)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 22%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 57.19%
    Draw 20.81%
Bristol City WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-0 @ 4.38% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 22%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.81%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-3 @ 6.79% (0.248 0.25)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 4.21% (0.155 0.16)
1-4 @ 3.57% (0.264 0.26)
0-4 @ 2.88% (0.213 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.21% (0.164 0.16)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.166 0.17)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.133 0.13)
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.103 0.1)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 57.19%

How you voted: Bristol Women vs Spurs Ladies

Bristol City Women
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Spurs Ladies
3-1
Bristol Women
Ahtinen (31'), Thomas (35'), Summanen (45+4')
Neville (23')
Gronbak Thestrup (64' pen.)
Napier (12'), Aspin (59')
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Spurs Ladies
1-1
Bristol Women
Worm (3')
Worm (27'), Cho (82')
Evans (52')
Daniels (66')
Nov 14, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol Women
2-2
Spurs Ladies
Logarzo (37' pen.), Salmon (90+2')
Worm (42'), Neville (64')
Neville (81')
Dean (77')
Apr 19, 2020 2pm
Oct 27, 2019 3pm
Bristol Women
1-2
Spurs Ladies
Harrison (39')
Graham (63', 64')
Godfrey (31'), Peplow (88')
rhs 2.0
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