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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Ajax

Willem II
0 - 1
Ajax


Crowley (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maduro (81')

Preview: Willem II vs. Ajax - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

High-flying Ajax set out to record a 10th victory on the bounce when they square up to the challenge of Willem II at the Konig Willem II Stadion on Saturday.

On the other hand, the home side are in urgent need of a pick-me-up having suffered defeat in 11 of their last 12 league outings either side of the new year.


Match preview

Ajax's Steven Berghuis celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on December 7, 2021© Reuters

In keeping with their blistering form of late, Ajax ran out 5-0 winners against FC Twente in a largely one-sided affair at the Johan Cruyff ArenA on Sunday.

Sebastien Haller was the star of the show as he grabbed a sensational hat-trick to lead Erik ten Hag's men to victory in a game where Davy Klaassen also got on the scoresheet.

De Godenzonen still lead the way in the Eredivisie table after 22 matches and would temporarily open up an eight-point gap over second-placed PSV Eindhoven should they come out on top this weekend.

Standing in the way is a Willem II side who have lost 12 of the last 16 meetings between the teams since 2014, managing just two wins in that time.

Saturday's visitors will be looking for a repeat of December's reverse fixture when they romped to a 5-0 victory with a Champions League clash versus Benfica on the horizon.

Fred Grim, now in charge of RKC Waalwijk, pictured in 2017© Reuters

Willem II were beaten for the sixth consecutive game away from home following a 1-0 defeat to Sparta Rotterdam at the Het Kasteel on Sunday.

Fred Grim's men gave a good account of themselves on the day, but Younes Namli's opener just shy of the hour mark was enough to separate the sides.

Having picked up just three of the last 36 points available, The Tricolores continue to slip down the league standings and now currently sit just one place and two points above the relegation zone.

Saturday's visitors have failed to record a shut out in any competition since September which does not make for good reading ahead of a clash against the division's fiercest attack.

Willem II Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Ajax Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Ajax form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Ajax winger Antony pictured in September 2021© Reuters

With one eye on their European commitment, Erik ten Hag might contemplate making some alterations to his regular starting XI in a bid to keep the energy levels high.

Following his treble last time out, Sebastien Haller is now up to 28 goals in all competitions for the season, and the 27-year-old is expected to lead the attack once again.

January signing Mohammed Ihattaren is ruled out of Saturday's clash with a muscle injury, while Sean Klaiber and Maarten Stekelenburg continue to nurse knee and hip injuries respectively.

Twenty-year-old Wesley Spieringhs has made just one appearance all-season long due to a long-term knee injury which he picked up back in September.

Thijs Oosting was on fire in his first home outing for Willem II since joining from AZ Alkmaar, and the midfielder is one to keep an eye on this weekend.

Willem II possible starting lineup:
Wellenreuther; Kohlert, Heerkens, Dammers, Owusu; Oosting, Llonch, Saddiki; Nunnely, Hornkamp, Svensson

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Pasveer; Tagliafico, Martinez, Timber, Mazraoui; Alvarez, Gravenberch, Klaassen; Antony, Tadic, Haller


SM words green background

We say: Willem II 0-4 Ajax

Ajax have been imperious in front of goal, and Willem II will need to be at their absolute best to stand any chance of keeping the defending champions at bay. We fancy the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the 90 minutes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Willem II vs Ajax

Willem II
12.0%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax
88.0%
25
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Ajax manager Erik ten Hag celebrates in November 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II36229573324175
2Roda JC362012467323572
3Groningen36218768293971
4Dordrecht361813572492367
5De GraafschapDe Graafschap361951258481062
6ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag351611866452159
7Jong AZJong AZ36158135657-153
8NAC BredaNAC Breda35149125853551
9MVV MaastrichtMVV36148145958150
10EmmenEmmen35146155258-648
11Helmond SportHelmond35138144951-247
12Cambuur36137167071-146
13VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo36129155156-545
14Jong AjaxJong Ajax361010165363-1040
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35815124254-1239
16Jong PSVJong PSV3597195676-2034
17TelstarTelstar3596204363-2033
18Den BoschDen Bosch3689193764-2733
19TOP OssOss36103233061-3133
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3559212969-4024


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