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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Cardiff MU

Harling (30')
Morris (45'), Davies (52'), Harris (54'), Wood (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Woolridge (9'), Corsby (53')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
43.64%24.35%32.01%
Both teams to score 58.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32%43.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93%66.07%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84%20.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55%52.45%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68%61.32%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 43.64%
    Cardiff MU 32.01%
    Draw 24.35%
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff MU
0-1
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11'), Rees (13'), Baker (34'), Evans (75'), Corsby (81')
Yakubu (17'), (79')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Cardiff MU
Jefferies (2'), Levi Borge (47')
(64')

(38'), (71')
Nov 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Evans (29')
Lewis (9'), McCarthy (32'), Evans (84'), Evans (90')
Georgievsky (93')
Jefferies (42'), Patten (52')
Aug 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
1-3
Cardiff MU
Borelli (89' pen.)
Summerfield (76'), Hutson (90')
Evans (38'), Rees (75' pen.), Davies (83')
Woolridge (66'), Barker (82'), Thomas (90')
rhs 2.0
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7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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