Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Racing1 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 4-3 Racing
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-0 Cerro
Saturday, March 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Penarol |
19.47% ( -0.04) | 25.35% ( -0) | 55.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
