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[monks data]
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Liberty Stadium
QPR logo

Swansea
0 - 1
QPR

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gray (80')

Preview: Swansea City vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Mark Warburton will take charge of Queens Park Rangers for the final time when his side travel to Swansea City on the last day of the Championship season.

The 59-year-old is departing the West London club at the end of his contract following a campaign that promised plenty but has dramatically unravelled.


Match preview

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) manager Mark Warburton pictured on September 24, 2021© Reuters

After six largely uneventful seasons outside of the Premier League, QPR finally looked set to challenge for a top-flight return this year.

The majority of their campaign has been spent in the playoff positions and they were just two points behind the top two in January.

However, the team's form has fallen off a cliff in the final three months of the season and Warburton's side have lost seven of their last nine matches.

The Hoops, who sit 12th in the table following a 3-1 defeat to Sheffield United last week, could even end up finishing in the bottom half as low as 16th.

Only Bournemouth and Fulham have scored more goals away from home in the Championship this season than QPR, but the West London side have taken just one point from their last five matches on the road.

Swansea City's Joel Piroe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 17, 2021© Reuters

Swansea sit 15th in the table and are just two points behind the Hoops, so would overtake them with victory in this final-day fixture.

It has been a steady if unspectacular first season in South Wales for manager Russell Martin, who replaced Steve Cooper less than a week before the start of the campaign.

The Swans were comfortably beaten 5-1 by Cooper's current side Nottingham Forest last weekend, which was their first defeat in 10 matches. However, their four previous games had all ended as draws as their surprise late playoff bid fell by the wayside.

Flynn Downes was sent off in second-half stoppage time as these two sides played out a 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture at the Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium in January.

Swansea City Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L

Queens Park Rangers Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Swansea City manager Russell Martin on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Swansea are likely to revert to a back three after collapsing against Forest last weekend with a four-man defence.

With Ben Cabango out injured, that could mean that full-back Ryan Manning slots into the backline with Hannes Wolf being deployed on the left flank.

Eighteen-year-old Cameron Congreve was handed his first Championship start against Forest and could feature again as Martin looks to the future.

Yoann Barbet could return for QPR after missing the defeat to Sheffield United, with midfielder Sam Field forced to play in defence against the Blades as Rob Dickie is also out.

Charlie Austin made his first start in over two months last week and scored his first goal since January so will hope to keep his place.

Keiren Westwood could be fit enough to return in goal, but Mark Warburton may decide to stick with 20-year-old Murphy Mahoney.

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Fisher; Naughton, Latibeaudiere, Manning; Christie, Grimes, Downes, Wolf; Congreve; Piroe, Obafemi

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Mahoney; Sanderson, Dunne, Barbet, McCallum; Field, Dozzell; Amos, Johansen; Austin, Chair


SM words green background

We say: Swansea City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

QPR have been in freefall for a couple of months now and news of Mark Warburton's impending exit makes victory in this game even more unlikely. Swansea should take advantage of the downbeat mood in the Hoops' camp and end the season on a high.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:484986:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8695:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Swansea vs QPR

Swansea City
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Queens Park Rangers
25.0%
20
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Tables header RHS
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4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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