Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
