Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Sassuolo |
39.81% ( 0.96) | 25.36% ( -0.16) | 34.83% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% ( 0.63) | 47.5% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% ( 0.57) | 69.71% ( -0.58) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( 0.78) | 23.62% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( 1.12) | 57.7% ( -1.12) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.18) | 26.35% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( -0.23) | 61.49% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.81% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |