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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Spezia Calcio logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Spezia

Berardi (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Zola (66'), Amian (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 3-1 Spezia

If Sassuolo continue to play with the verve and swagger which has defined their recent fixtures, then Spezia are likely to suffer the same, goal-laden fate as Milan, Roma and several other clubs in the future. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
SassuoloDrawSpezia
53.34% (-0.334 -0.33) 23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 23.28% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.287 0.29)45.46% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (0.274 0.27)67.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)47.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.44500000000001 0.45)33.61% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.481 0.48)70.25% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 53.34%
    Spezia 23.28%
    Draw 23.37%
SassuoloDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.28%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Spezia

Sassuolo
82.7%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
8.2%
98
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')
Ekdal (81')
Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')
Mar 18, 2022 5.45pm
Sassuolo
4-1
Spezia
Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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