Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
39.54% ( 0.5) | 27.18% ( -0.25) | 33.28% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.63% ( 0.91) | 55.37% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.42% ( 0.74) | 76.57% ( -0.75) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( 0.72) | 27.36% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% ( 0.92) | 62.82% ( -0.92) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( 0.29) | 31.18% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( 0.34) | 67.51% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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