Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.62% ( -0.06) | 26.28% ( -0.09) | 47.11% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% ( 0.3) | 54.55% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% ( 0.25) | 75.9% ( -0.25) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.3% ( 0.11) | 35.7% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.53% ( 0.11) | 72.47% ( -0.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.2) | 23.15% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( 0.3) | 57.03% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |