Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
49.83% ( 4.31) | 24.14% ( -0.85) | 26.02% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( 1.44) | 46.28% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( 1.34) | 68.57% ( -1.34) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( 2.37) | 18.62% ( -2.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.07% ( 3.84) | 49.92% ( -3.84) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -1.84) | 31.75% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( -2.16) | 68.17% ( 2.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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