Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
38.97% ( 0) | 27.85% ( 0) | 33.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.08% ( -0.01) | 57.92% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.37% ( -0) | 78.62% ( 0) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( -0) | 28.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( -0) | 64.77% ( -0) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( -0.01) | 32.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( -0.01) | 69.08% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.69% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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