Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
65.91% ( 0.33) | 20.27% ( -0.09) | 13.82% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 47.55% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.34% ( -0.13) | 46.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( -0.13) | 68.92% ( 0.12) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.69% ( 0.05) | 13.3% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.86% ( 0.12) | 40.14% ( -0.13) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.85% ( -0.45) | 45.15% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% ( -0.36) | 81.05% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.91% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.27% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |