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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Roma logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Roma

Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
34.88%23.18%41.94%
Both teams to score 64.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86%37.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66%59.34%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8%18.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79%49.22%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.88%
    Roma 41.94%
    Draw 23.17%
SpeziaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Roma
74.1%
54
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
Round Five
Roma
0-0
Spezia
Spezia win 4-2 on penalties
Ucan (19'), Vainqueur (40'), Rudiger (91')
Terzi (34'), Nene (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa32912113539-439
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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