Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
19.21% ( -0.09) | 22.48% ( 0.07) | 58.3% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.38% ( -0.45) | 46.62% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.11% ( -0.42) | 68.89% ( 0.42) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.74% ( -0.36) | 38.25% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.98% ( -0.35) | 75.02% ( 0.35) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.32% ( -0.14) | 15.68% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.27% ( -0.27) | 44.73% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.21% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 58.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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