Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 76.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
76.88% | 14.78% | 8.33% |
Both teams to score 47.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.14% | 36.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.96% | 59.04% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.1% | 7.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.06% | 27.94% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.12% | 48.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% | 83.86% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.43% 3-0 @ 10.52% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.86% | 1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.86% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.78% | 0-1 @ 2.76% 1-2 @ 2.51% 0-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |