Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.26%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it is 1-2 (5.6%).
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
56.88% ( -2.2) | 21.99% ( 1.05) | 21.13% ( 1.15) |
Both teams to score 56.8% ( -1.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -3.24) | 41.83% ( 3.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.76% ( -3.34) | 64.23% ( 3.34) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% ( -1.73) | 14.52% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.47% ( -3.45) | 42.53% ( 3.45) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% ( -0.74) | 33.56% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% ( -0.82) | 70.2% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.41) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.25) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.88% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.68) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |