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Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

NY City
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Parks (74'), Pereira (78'), Gloster (88')
Callens (77'), Castellanos (80'), Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

A week ago, these two teams showed a ton of potency in the attacking third, along with plenty of vulnerabilities at the back. They each have some lethal strikers who rarely miss in front of goal, but we are giving the edge to New York, who have a little more balance and structure to their lineup, whereas the Quakes are still searching for the right formula to keep winning consistently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
65.77%18.05%16.18%
Both teams to score 61.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.42%52.58%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.1%8.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58%30.42%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 65.77%
    San Jose Earthquakes 16.18%
    Draw 18.05%
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.62%
5-1 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 0.99%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.87%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.18%

How you voted: NY City vs Earthquakes

New York City FC
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Parks (40'), Mitrita (43')
Callens (55'), Johnson (94')
Wondolowski (20')
Salinas (47'), Eriksson (76')
Apr 1, 2018 1am
Earthquakes
1-2
NY City
Quintana (3')
Godoy (29')
Tinnerholm (49'), Moralez (60')
Ofori (41'), Callens (67'), Herrera (74'), Tinnerholm (89'), Moralez (93')
Apr 1, 2017 7pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Harrison (11'), McNamara (67')
Ring (54'), Wallace (59'), Harrison (87')
Urena (7')
Bernardez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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