Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Spezia |
45.49% | 25.55% | 28.97% |
Both teams to score 53.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% | 50.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% | 72.26% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% | 22.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% | 55.45% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% | 31.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.98% | 68.02% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |