Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
67.88% | 18.63% | 13.48% |
Both teams to score 52.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% | 40.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% | 62.49% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.16% | 10.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.07% | 34.93% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.44% | 41.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.95% | 78.05% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.12% 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.58% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.16% Total : 67.88% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |