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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Torino logo

Spezia
0 - 4
Torino


Ekdal (11'), N'Zola (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wisniewski (24' og.), Ricci (72'), Ilic (76'), Karamoh (90+6')
Ilic (16'), Singo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Torino

 As Torino are tough to beat when on the road, even taking one point could represent a good result for Spezia - providing Verona fail to get the better of Empoli on Sunday. Neither side scores freely, so a close contest is set to end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawTorino
24.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.13% (0.004999999999999 0) 49.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 47.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)55.53% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)38.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 24.41%
    Torino 49.45%
    Draw 26.12%
SpeziaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.99%
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.41%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.45%

How you voted: Spezia vs Torino

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
20.8%
Torino
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
gameweek 18
Torino
0-1
Spezia

Djidji (27'), Ricci (75'), Karamoh (90+6')
N'Zola (28' pen.)
Caldara (51'), Bourabia (61'), Nikolaou (90+6')
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Torino
2-1
Spezia
Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
gameweek 37
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
gameweek 18
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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