Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Parma had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Sassuolo |
21.84% | 21.47% | 56.69% |
Both teams to score 59.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% | 38.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.24% | 60.75% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% | 30.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% | 67.3% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.55% | 13.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.56% | 40.44% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 5.74% 1-0 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.84% | 1-1 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 6.57% 0-3 @ 5.61% 2-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 3.3% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.59% Total : 56.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |