Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
42.47% | 24.48% | 33.05% |
Both teams to score 58.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% | 43.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% | 66.28% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% | 20.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% | 53.43% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% | 60.6% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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