Montrose

4 - 0

Dumbarton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.