Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
45.84% | 24.91% | 29.25% |
Both teams to score 55.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.52% | 47.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.31% | 69.69% |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% | 20.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% | 53.4% |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% | 29.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% | 66.06% |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 91 | 23 | 68 | 88 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 27 | 41 | 68 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 37 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 35 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 36 | 92 | -56 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |