Baltika

2 - 0

Nizhny Novgorod

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Baltika would win this match.