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Real Sociedad logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')

Preview: Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Basque rivals Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao go head-to-head in La Liga action on Wednesday, in a replay of last week's Copa del Rey final.

In that game, Sociedad lifted the trophy thanks to a 1-0 win courtesy of a Mikel Oyarzabal penalty, and they will be looking to repeat that feat at home on Wednesday to break into the top five of the La Liga table.


Match preview

Real Sociedad head coach Imanol Alguacil pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Despite their cup final triumph last time out, Wednesday's hosts will be hoping to get back to winning ways in league action after two consecutive La Liga defeats.

Before the international break, Imanol Alguacil's side suffered a thumping defeat at home to second-placed Barcelona.

Goals from Antoine Griezmann and Ousmane Dembele and braces from Lionel Messi and Sergino Dest condemned La Real to a 6-1 thrashing, as Ander Barrenetxea's late goal was nothing more than a consolation.

However, their victory in the Copa del Rey final could trigger a turnaround for Alguacil's side, as they look to break back into the top five of the Spanish top flight.

La Real currently sit in seventh spot, but they remain just one point behind fifth-placed Real Betis, with a draw or victory from their game in hand on Wednesday seeing them move back up to fifth.

That will certainly not be an easy task for Alguacil and his side, though, as they welcome an Athletic Bilbao outfit who will be desperate to return the favour and score an important victory over their fellow Basque club.

Athletic Bilbao Marcelino pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Despite a disappointing defeat in the postponed final of the 2020 Copa del Rey final, Athletic will have another chance to pick up the trophy in just a few weeks, when they take on Barcelona in the 2021 final.

However, Marcelino's side have had a somewhat disappointing campaign in league action thus far, sitting in 10th spot, having lost 11 of their 28 La Liga games so far this season.

They will be looking to end a three-game winless run in the top flight on Wednesday, having drawn to strugglers Eibar most recently as well as a draw with Celta Vigo and a narrow defeat to Atletico Madrid.

Yuri Berchiche put Athletic ahead after just nine minutes in that draw, but Kike would equalise soon after for the visitors and Marcelino's side were unable to retake the lead, having to settle for a draw with the side who sit second from bottom.

With the opportunity of a Copa del Rey final and the requirement to get their domestic season back on track, Los Leones should be desperate to reverse their fortunes and record a first win in five games in all competitions when they travel to San Sebastian.

Real Sociedad La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Real Sociedad form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D

Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Athletic Bilbao's Inaki Williams celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on January 17, 2021© Reuters

While Alguacil should have the majority of his core players available, the squad has been damaged by several injuries over the course of the season.

Jon Guridi and veteran goalkeeper Miguel Angel Moya both continue spells on the sidelines, while Luca Sangalli remains out of contention with a long-term knee injury.

Midfielder David Silva was absent from the squad for the league game against Barcelona, but the former Spanish international returned to the starting 11 for the Copa del Rey final, securing his first piece of silverware since his move from Manchester City.

Alexander Isak will lead the line for La Real, having netted 12 goals in 24 La Liga games this season.

He will be supported by Mikel Oyarzabal, who netted his 12th goal of the season to secure the Copa del Rey final win from the penalty spot.

Athletic Bilbao have managed to keep their squad in good shape this campaign, with Oier Zarraga potentially the only absentee through injury.

Captain Iker Muniain looked dejected after the cup final defeat, and he will be desperate to see his side return to their best.

The Spaniard remains a crucial member of the Athletic squad, having registered five goals and four assists in La Liga action so far this campaign.

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Gorosabel, Zubeldia, Le Normand, Monreal; Silva, Zubimendi, Merino; Oyarzabal, Isak, Portu

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Alvarez, Martinez, Berchiche; Berenguer, Lopez, Vesga, Muniain; Williams, Garcia


SM words green background

We say: Real Sociedad 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

With the visitors experiencing a slight slump in their form, we see the San Sebastian outfit recording a second Basque derby victory in quick succession, narrowly defeating Athletic Bilbao to move back into the top five.

The threatening attacking line of Isak and Oyarzabal, supported by the creativity of David Silva, should have more than enough firepower to break down Athletic's back line and carry the hosts to a crucial victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
74.1%
Draw
15.5%
Athletic Bilbao
10.3%
116
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Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their second goal against Eibar in La Liga on April 3, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Getafe331013104145-443
10Villarreal32119125155-442
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla32910134145-437
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Mallorca32613132638-1231
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria33111213267-3514


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