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Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
K Park Training Academy
Hamilton logo

East Kilbride
2 - 5
Hamilton

McGowan (31'), Flanagan (53')
Arnott (14'), Flanagan (62'), McGowan (73')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Mumbongo (17'), Arnott (20' og.), MacDonald (36' pen., 80'), Murray (38')
Mumbongo (73'), Longridge (90')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 East Kilbride
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
East KilbrideDrawHamilton Academical
25.12% (4.68 4.68) 22.25% (0.987 0.99) 52.63% (-5.664 -5.66)
Both teams to score 61.17% (2.896 2.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.955 0.95)38.43% (-0.95 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (1.003 1)60.72% (-0.999 -1)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (4.544 4.54)28.27% (-4.539 -4.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (5.391 5.39)63.99% (-5.386 -5.39)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-1.452 -1.45)14.73% (1.457 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-2.86 -2.86)42.93% (2.865 2.87)
Score Analysis
    East Kilbride 25.12%
    Hamilton Academical 52.63%
    Draw 22.24%
East KilbrideDrawHamilton Academical
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.904 0.9)
1-0 @ 5.26% (0.407 0.41)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.619 0.62)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.652 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.519 0.52)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.395 0.4)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.581 0.58)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.246 -0.25)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.818 -0.82)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-1.242 -1.24)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.501 -0.5)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-1.102 -1.1)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.18 0.18)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 52.63%

Head to Head
Jul 15, 2017 2pm
Group stage
East Kilbride
1-3
Hamilton
Winter (69' pen.)
Howie (66')
MacKinnon (39'), Longridge (81'), Crawford (90')
MacKinnon (57')
rhs 2.0
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