Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
40.66% ( -0.1) | 24.84% ( 0.01) | 34.5% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.78% ( -0.02) | 45.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.44% ( -0.02) | 67.56% ( 0.02) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( -0.06) | 22.2% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% ( -0.09) | 55.61% ( 0.09) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( 0.05) | 25.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( 0.06) | 60.3% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |