Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
52.37% | 26.11% | 21.52% |
Both teams to score 44.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.1% | 57.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% | 78.61% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% | 22.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% | 55.64% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.7% | 42.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% | 78.69% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 14.13% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 4.59% 4-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.83% Total : 52.36% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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