Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
18.78% | 22.25% | 58.96% |
Both teams to score 52.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% | 46.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% | 68.55% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.48% | 38.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.73% | 75.26% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% | 15.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.91% | 44.09% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.78% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 11.07% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |