Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
30.88% ( -0.18) | 27.48% ( -0.11) | 41.64% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.91% ( 0.34) | 57.09% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.03% ( 0.27) | 77.97% ( -0.27) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( 0.05) | 33.74% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( 0.05) | 70.39% ( -0.05) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( 0.31) | 27.01% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( 0.41) | 62.37% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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