Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
38.23% ( 0.34) | 27.58% ( -0) | 34.19% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 48.95% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% ( -0.02) | 56.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% ( -0.01) | 77.71% ( 0.01) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( 0.19) | 28.78% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% ( 0.24) | 64.62% ( -0.24) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0.23) | 31.28% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( -0.26) | 67.63% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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