Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
INEA stadion
Lech Poznan3 - 3Jagiellonia
Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Normann Hansen (54'), Skrzypczak (66'), Wdowik (90+6' pen.)
Romanczuk (63')
Romanczuk (63')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
64.25% ( 0) | 19.79% ( -0) | 15.96% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
