Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 3-1 (7.04%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
58.34% | 19.93% | 21.73% |
Both teams to score 65.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.9% | 31.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.49% | 52.52% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.35% | 10.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.5% | 34.5% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% | 26.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.81% | 62.2% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-2 @ 4.63% 4-1 @ 3.94% 4-0 @ 3% 4-2 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.35% 5-2 @ 1.16% 4-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.34% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-1 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.75% Total : 21.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |