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Livingston logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
St Mirren logo

Livingston
0 - 1
St Mirren


Brown (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doyle-Hayes (56')
McGrath (26')

Preview: Livingston vs. St Mirren - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership fixture between Livingston and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Livingston and St Mirren meet at the Almondvale Stadium on Saturday afternoon having both endured lengthy winless streaks in the Scottish Premiership.

While the home side have failed to record a victory in four attempts, the visitors have gone seven games without registering maximum points.


Match preview

Livingston manager Gary Holt pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Given their poor form in the Scottish Premiership, it is fair to say that Livingston and St Mirren have been grateful to use the League Cup as a way of retaining some belief.

Livingston have recorded four wins in succession in that competition, scoring 15 goals in the process, while St Mirren have remained unbeaten courtesy of two wins via penalty shootouts.

However, with neither team recording maximum points in the league since October 2, much improvement is required if they are to move away from trouble at the wrong end of the standings.

From St Mirren's perspective, the majority of their setbacks have come by narrow scorelines, one of which came against champions Celtic after taking an early lead.

Jim Goodwin will be concerned that just six goals have been scored during 11 matches, but positives will have been taken from the goalless draw with fifth-placed Dundee United before the international break.

Livingston's winless streak has only reached four matches, but home defeats against Kilmarnock and Motherwell have dented the confidence of Gary Holt's side.

Recording a comeback draw at Ross County was a step in the right direction, but another loss at the Almondvale Stadium will leave the Lions one point away from second bottom.

A first-half goal from St Mirren defender Richard Tait proved to be the difference when these two sides met on the opening day of the season.

Livingston Scottish Premiership form: WWLLLD
Livingston form (all competitions): LLLDWW

St Mirren Scottish Premiership form: LLLLLD
St Mirren form (all competitions): LWDDDW


Team News

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin pictured on August 9, 2020© Reuters

Although changes were made for their recent League Cup double-header, Holt is likely to revert to much of the Livingston side which earned a point at Ross County.

Ciaron Brown should come back into the defence after spending time on international duty with Northern Ireland Under-21s.

As for St Mirren, Jonathan Obika is pushing for a recall after scoring the decisive goal against Queen's Park in the most recent League Cup tie.

The absence of defender Joe Shaughnessy through suspension may lead to a change in system, with Nathan Sheron potentially being brought into midfield.

Livingston possible starting lineup:
Stryjek; Devlin, Brown, Guthrie, Lawson; Sibbald, Bartley, Robinson, Forrest; Pittman; Emmanuel-Thomas

St Mirren possible starting lineup:
Alnwick; Tait, Fraser, McCarthy, Mason; Doyle-Hayes, Erhahon, Mason; MacPherson, Obika, McGrath


SM words green background

We say: Livingston 1-1 St Mirren

Going by their form before the international break, it is difficult to predict a winner in this contest. Livingston are naturally the favourites due to their home advantage, but we feel that St Mirren will battle their way to a low-scoring draw.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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General view of St Mirren Park from 2009
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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